Eastern Michigan vs Ball State 8/30/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Eastern Michigan winning 48% of simulations, and Ball State 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Eastern Michigan commits fewer turnovers in 22% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. Ball State wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Dominique Sherrer is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Jahwan Edwards is averaging 69 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BALL -3.5 --- Over/Under line is 54

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